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Establishment Candidate Key to Baldwin Win

The Nov. 6 election has been analyzed to death, but lost in the post-mortem is a bright spot for conservatives that’s gone largely uncovered. President Obama won the Electoral College handily, but did not get the mandate he wanted based on popular vote.  However, there was a mandate for Governor Walker and the GOP-controlled legislature. 

The Red Tsunami of 2010 brought about a new breed of conservatives who went to Madison and began to work immediately.  Instead of constituents’ requests falling on deaf ears, Wisconsinites saw a new relationship between themselves and their legislators.  The people asked and the legislature delivered collective bargaining reform, concealed-carry, voter ID, an end to state funding of Planned Parenthood, along with numerous changes to state law showing the rest of the country that we are, indeed, open for business.

The June 5 recall results were an affirmation of their achievements and Nov. 6 was a mandate for them to carry on with their work. 

For those still baffled by Tommy Thompson’s loss to Tammy Baldwin in the US Senate race, there is a real lesson to be learned.

Near the end of a hard-fought primary season, the establishment broke for Tommy Thompson in a big way and we were assured of two things:  1) Tommy Thompson was the only one who could definitely beat Tammy Baldwin, and 2) No matter who won the nomination, the money would be there.  On Aug. 14 it was clear that many bought into this and Tommy Thompson was nominated.

Hindsight is 20/20, but both assertions were horribly wrong.  Although not finalized, the numbers show that Mitt Romney received about 30,000 more votes that Tommy Thompson and Thompson only fared .5 percent better against Baldwin than Romney did against Obama.  We all know that by the end of the primary, and again shortly before the general election, the Thompson campaign was out of money.  Lack of money wasn’t the only reason he lost.

If not just money, then what was wrong with Tommy Thompson as our nominee?  I believe he ran for the right reasons—with sincere concerns about the fiscal cliff and the impact of Obamacare.  The real problem was that the 80s and 90s establishment stepped in for him during the last days before the primary.  Maybe they bought the arguments that he was unbeatable and that he’d be well-funded, but I can’t help but wonder if they also had a sense of indebtedness to Tommy Thompson for what he did as governor and for the careers he helped to launch.

By backing Thompson, the establishment ignored the types of legislators we sent to Washington (and Madison) for the first time in 2010 and disregarded the strides we made in 2010 toward unapologetic, Constitutional conservatism. We ended up with Tammy Baldwin.

sparky

1:59 pm on Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Tommy being Tommy, I believe he made a bet with a friend. The bet being that his name alone could win him a seat in the Senate. He loves the limelight and being elected would have put him in it for a little while. He probably would have retired after he realized being a Senator is not all it's cracked up to be. Thats why the Governor and others endorsed him on the down low. Governor Walker would have been able to hand pick his replacement

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Terry

6:20 pm on Tuesday, November 13, 2012

In some ways I was more bitter about this loss than Romney's. When we first nominated Thompson, I turned to my wife and said, "that's it, Baldwin wins", and I told her exactly why. Unfortunately it went exactly as predicted.

Thompson left the gate with no sense of urgency. He seemed to rely mostly on the "vote for me because I am Tommy approach". This allowed Baldwin to set the agenda. She defined herself as a moderate, and even in some ways a fiscal conservative. Hell, to hear her commercials, you would have thought she was the GOP candidate. She then (correctly) went on to define Thompson as a Washington insider, pulling all the skeletons out of his closet that come with that title.

By the time Thompson realized that he was in a fight, it was too late. A completely winnable seat was lost. And I can't even be that mad at Tommy. He was simply being what he always was. I am more upset at ourselves, for ignoring the lessons we should have learned two years before.

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Brian Dey

2:23 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

There is a reason that candidates with no primary opponents win elections. The Dems were smart enough to know that and put all there efforts and money into Tammy from the start. Republicans ran several good opponents, but at the end of the day, when the smoke settled from the primary, Thompson simply did not have enough money to combat all the attack ads that played for several weeks unchallenged. It's that simple. Same can be said of the Presidential Race nationally. That is one main reason in today's politics that incumbents have fared pretty well in national politics. If there is one lesson the Republicans can learn is back one candidate and one candidate only. The Presidential slate was a battle to be the most conservative, but the money was behind Romney. Romney, who is really a moderate, won the battle but lost the war. Money can swing 2-3% and that is exactly what it did.

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Bren

3:29 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Calls to my rep Ms. Lazich went unanswered. I call that "falling on deaf ears."

And honestly, I don't think anyone "asked" for our state to become a test ground for ALEC. Most of us would prefer focus on our own unique issues, I believe. All of these, "collective bargaining reform, concealed-carry, voter ID" are ALEC-penned cookie-cutter legislation rubber-stamped by a sycophantic GOP state legislature. In my mind, not going to go down as exemplar moments in our state's proud, feisty, independent, progressive history. When I say "progressive," I mean having the first American kindergarten, the national model in highway signage, birthplace of the Republican Party, Milwaukee as a national model for parks (city of "bubblers") and mass transit, etc. These are the things I prefer to think of when reflecting on the state of my birth and where I reside today.

I also think most of us don't spend quality time daydreaming about discussions in high school sex ed class, or procreation, with rape as "another form of conception" as some politicians seem to do. Most of us want our friends, family, and neighbors who lost their jobs to get their lives back on track. We want to go to sleep at night knowing that kids in the central city have mittens and boots this winter. Etc.

Tommy didn't win because everyone knows he was a D.C. "consultant" (lobbyist) for years and would not be focused on Wisconsin.

That "Red Tsunami" of extremism is derailing the GOP.

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Greg

3:41 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

How does Wisconsin being the 49th state to have a concealed-carry law jibe with being a test ground for ALEC? And like it or not, the good people of Wisconsin are in favor of the other "ALEC" issues you mentioned.

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Bren

4:10 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Previous attempts at passing concealed carry failed. With ALEC and a rubber-stamp administration, it went through. Test passed. Given the results of the Nov. 6 election, I think the good people of Wisconsin are looking at the bigger picture and the un-Randian idea that "helping your neighbor" is the effective model for life and success.

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CowDung

4:20 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Wouldn't 'progressive' mean that we would be the first rather than the last state to have concealed carry?

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Steve ®

4:24 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

The bill passed the senate with a 25-8 vote. Seems like ALEC has taken over the loony left in the state senate now, right?

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Bren

4:27 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Cow, it was considered "progressive" when landowners could build villas without having to surround them with moats and/or feed/clothe private armies to protect their lives and property. It meant civilization-society and law-had progressed to the point where respect for the law, not threat of force, diminished crime. Through that lens I can't see "concealed carry" as anything but regressive. The progressivism in this circumstance is that we were one of the last hold-outs and might be still if not for a rubber-stamp administration and special interest puppet governor.

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Greg

4:28 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

The November 6th election? Like the Wisconsin State Senate elections?

The second to last state in the nation to pass CCW and we are the test ground? Don't you think that they should have waited for the test results?

Giving your neighbor your other neighbor's stuff is not really a model that we should follow.

ALEC and Ayn Rand, Bren's speed bumps to a rational conversation.

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CowDung

4:46 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bren:

I would have thought that the empowerment aspect of concealed carry is what makes it progressive. As society regresses into lawlessness, the progressive solution is to find an alternative to the system that is failing to prevent crime. That solution is concealed carry...

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Bren

4:55 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Greg, how does "helping one's neighbor" translate to "giving free stuff to your neighbor" these days? It never really did before. I'll take generosity of spirit over Randian selfishness any day.

Cow, the idea that people with enlarged amydalae, resulting in heightened states of emotion and fear, are making fear-based decisions (such as concealed carry) that impact everyone, is not progressive in my mind. Progressiveness is decision-making that moves society forward, removing fears in a rational method.

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Jay Sykes

4:56 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Thirty-Three states have voter id laws. Wisconsin is/was among the last 1/3 of the states that has/had no voter-id laws. Seems Wisconsin is behind the curve in enacting some kind of a voter-id law;not very progressive, we weren't first!

I do think we erred in enacting our 'own' voter-id law. We should have followed/modeled it from a state that had their ID law Constitutionally tested.

http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/voter-id.aspx

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CowDung

4:58 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

By 'moving forward', you mean creating an armed police force run by the government, and taking away the rights of private citizens to defend themselves against threats?

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Steve ®

4:58 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bren is proving how Obama got reelected. Low informed and emotional with justice wanting to be served.

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Ima Hippee

5:27 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Good grief = now Bren is into his ALEC agenda yest again. (Palm to forehead)

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Lyle Ruble

5:48 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

@CowDung...I hope you haven't felt it is necessary to arm yourself. To me that would be a truly sad day. We may not see eye to eye politically, but I respect your views and intelligence. If you feel you need to buy and carry arms, that's a sorry state.

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Bren

6:25 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Well, we have encountered a disconnect. What Greg, Jay, Cow, and Steve believe to be "progressive" legislation I find embarrassingly regressive. I'm proud that our state resisted regressive legislation as long as it did.

Cow, I'm not sure how adding a national police force to our existing security protocol would move our country forward.

Ima, "yest?" ; )

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Jay Sykes

7:45 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bren... just my own brand of neo-utilitarian linguistic pragmatism. I'll leave the challenges in exploration of thought to Lyle Ruble, Brian Carlson and Nick Poulos. It's sure fun to read through the smoke and flames.

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CowDung

9:56 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Lyle:

Don't worry--I do not own any firearms and don't have any plans to do so. I do strongly support the right to own weapons and carry though. I grew up in a rural area with no local police jurisdiction. Fortunately crime wasn't an issue for us at the time, but I can recognize that there are situations where one would be better off providing their own security rather than relying on the police...

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Steve ®

10:18 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

I do and plan to fire at ready this weekend. I will think of Lyle every pull of the trigger.

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Walker

7:23 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Voter ID was the hottest topic of legislation in the field of elections in 2011, with legislation introduced in 34 states. Hello ALEC.
http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/voter-id-2011-legislation.aspx

Taoist Crocodile

4:18 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Wait for it... "Stepharyan Colbigot"

Yeah, that's the good stuff.

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Ima Hippee

5:42 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bren - The entire idea of charging the wealthy to pay even more in taxes to help a government run it's failed business' defies logic.

BTW, BHO is now requesting $1.6T - double what he initially requested. What is the plan? It has to go prop up his union pals.

Craig

4:51 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

I voted for Tommy Boy while holding my nose.
Stick it to 'em rang loud in my memory, perhaps it did for others as well.
To make matters worse, we are still paying for that damn stadium today!

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David Tatarowicz

5:03 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

@ Craig Lest we forget --- Scott Walker pushed for the stadium too --- $500.000.000 or more was not too much to pay for the stadium, but he turned away $800,000,000 of our Federal tax money for a public railroad --- he had no problem using public money for a private business --- wonder how he will handle a new playpen for the Bucks --- I guess as long as Kohl owns the team Walker will probably lay low, but if Kohl sells it to a Republican --- hmmm

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Bren

5:10 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

The entire idea of charging taxpayers to build a stadium for a privately-owned team defies logic. Yes, having the Brewers in Milwaukee provides jobs for maintenance people, concession workers, parking attendants, etc., and provides some business for restaurants in the immediate vicinity. We aren't asked to build business venues for others...

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Craig

5:22 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bren: Thanks for the support.
David: I have an image of you 'riding that train' high on hemp....
Please cite a source that Scott Walker pushed for the stadium too, as I believe Tommy was the Governor waaayyy back then.

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Bob McBride

5:31 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

David, nobody said no to Saint Bud, party affiliation not withstanding. You know that. Everybody who needed to be taken care of it get it through the system, was.

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Randy1949

11:25 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

On the subject of County Stadium, does anyone have a long enough memory to remember how that site was originally discussed for the proposed Bradley Center gift? That was nixed by Bud Selig on the grounds that another sports arena next to his precious stadium would hurt his business. That meant the County had to find land downtown for the Bradley Center, at extra cost.

So Bud had some real chutzpah sticking his hand out to the taxpayers for his spiffy new stadium some ten or fifteen years later. They count on us not remembering these things.

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Randy1949

11:50 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

@Bob McBride -- Did you delete a comment? My memory goes as far back as when the only cable company in the metro Milwaukee area was RVS. I don't know about the horse-races in the various communities to finally get their cable, though.

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CowDung

11:50 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I believe Walker was in the state assembly at the time. I can't seem to find voting records for individuals, but he may have voted in favor of the 0.1% stadium tax...

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Bob McBride

11:51 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Bud's a saint. He singlehandedly (really?) brought baseball back to Milwaukee at enormous personal and financial risk (really??) for no other reason than his love of the game (really???). Next to, perhaps, Vince Lombardi, Bud is Wisconsin's most beloved non-playing sports figure of all time (really?????). Why else would there be giant statue in his honor at Miller Park?

If you've got a really long memory you might remember, as well, the whole cable franchise horse race and stories about grand pianos being bestowed upon certain individuals by TWC (which I believe was just Warner Cable back then) at the time. One of the more peculiar incentives I can recall.

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Bob McBride

12:00 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Randy, yes I did. I felt the need to add a tribute to Bud in the post, so did that and reposted. Maybe they were RVS back then. I remember the piano gifting because the sister of a girl I was dating at the time was working for Dennis Conta, who I think was working as a consultant and on behalf of one of the companies vying for the contract.

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Randy1949

12:03 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

@Bob McBride -- There's the comment. I will add that my memory goes as far back as RVS Cable struggling to get their studio and their tower built. And then it was several years after that before my area got wired for cable. It was still RVS at the time, and I forget the acquisitions and name changes since. No grand pianos were involved.

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Randy1949

12:09 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

@Bob McBride -- It was indeed RVS at the very beginning, named after Richard V. Steffen, the owner (along with his wife Lois). They got the tower and the studio built and began wiring communities.

And yeah, there was a lot of behind the scenes politics but no pianos. They were on a shoe-string at the beginning.

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Bob McBride

12:58 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I'm going to have to dig around on this. I don't think the pianos necessarily came from the winning bidder at the time.....I'll see what I can find.

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Bob McBride

1:13 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

This is what I remember, basically...

http://www.putnampit.com/milwaukeepress/Warner.htm

If you read down through it, you get to this:

The next week, Ald. Kevin O’Connor denied receiving an $1,800 campaign contribution from Warner, but he did acknowledge he got “about a grand a piece” from Warner’s registered lobbyists Robert Friebert and John Finerty.

Now, based on the time this was occurring, it would have been right around the end of my drinking career so it's entirely possible I mistook, or someone I hung with at the time heard and mistook "about a grand a piece" for "a grand piano". It certainly wouldn't have been the oddest mistake I made at that point in time.

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Jay Sykes

1:33 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I remember in the early days of cable, individual communities around Milwaukee had various different providers/channel line-ups. The seven North Shore communities combined and let a single build-out contract to Viacom. My girlfriend in Elm Grove had a different channel line-up and cable company.

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Randy1949

2:13 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Google RVS Cablevision. You will find a lot of references to municipalities in this area. To the best of my recollection, the authorization for their tower happened in 1978, which I dimly recall because I was at the Town meeting. After that, I don't know how it went. We didn't get cable here until about 1982 or 1984.

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Bob McBride

4:38 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I'm not disputing your account, Randy. It's more the circus around that particular awarding of the city contract that I remember.

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Randy1949

7:39 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

There was a bit of a circus in 1978 with the building of that tower, and I'm kind of proud of the part I played in helping it go ahead. I think it was Tosa that got cable first, although don't hold me to that.

The technology has changed since then. There are no more antennas on that tower -- just satellite dishes.

Bob McBride

5:14 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

I wish Noelle would post another blog. It's like adding hot sauce to the same old everyday meatloaf we've been dining on here for a good year and a half.

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Jay Sykes

6:33 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

I'm Sorry....YOU PEOPLE don't know Kobe beef from meatloaf....

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Bob McBride

6:54 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Okay, well just for Jay...

It's like dousing a slab of Kobe with A-1 and requesting "un oignon de floraison" on the side.

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Bren

7:27 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

I would have described it as stepping in gum but your analogy works too! ; )

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sparky

12:12 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Is she one of those Irish travelers you read about every 5 or 6 years going from town to town?

Lyle Ruble

5:45 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

@Mark Jarman...Whoa Horse! You are claiming that by returning the state senate to the Republicans and a stronger assembly majority is a mandate; this is the biggest piece of spin since the campaign. If the Republicans hadn't gain control, then that would have been real news. After the Republican legislature redrew the legislative districts to favor Republicans, it didn't take a genius to figure who would take control. With the way the districts are currently drawn, we will be stuck with it for the next 10 years and should probably figure the Republicans will continue to control at least one chamber for the entire period.

As far as Tommy losing, you can't tilt a statewide election and people clearly rejected him as a viable candidate. It wasn't money that caused his loss, but message and the revelations of the Tommy of the last seven years hit home. I would venture that anyone of the other Republican candidates, that lost in the primary, would have still failed, but by a greater margin. What the Republicans are misreading is the state is not quite as conservative imagined.

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Steve ®

10:23 pm on Wednesday, November 14, 2012

By message you mean the lies and millions spent tarnishing his career. Good job.

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Terry

7:08 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I disagree Lyle, I do think another candidate, or perhaps a better run campaign, would have resulted in a different outcome. I think the voting record of this state, mostly, shows a healthy fear of the extreme ends of the political spectrum. Wisconsin voters distrust both the far left, and the far right, preferring something in the middle.

There is little doubt that Baldwin falls into the far left category. Thompson, and his campaign, allowed her to set the agenda and tone of this election. He let her sell herself to the voters as the moderate candidate. To hear her commercials, you would have thought that she was the fiscal conservative.

I don't think that this state is conservative. But its not liberal either. For the most part, its somewhere in between, and that's why it seems almost schizophrenic at times with how it votes. And that's why I think this was a winnable seat, with a better candidate and/or campaign.

Oh, once last aside. Whoever thought it was a good idea to run that horrible Thompson commercial with him riding a Harley and trying to look tough, needs to never work in politics again. Can't really sell yourself as a Schwarzenegger tough guy when you are probably closer to Jerry Lewis.

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CowDung

2:19 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

I wonder if it was the same guy that had Dukakis do the photo op in the tank.

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Terry

5:07 pm on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Indeed Cowdung.. The comparison is spot on.

Bob McBride

7:24 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

Pretty much a no-brainer, actually. One of the following was enough of a factor to make the outcome inevitable.

1) With Obama as the presidential candidate, you get unusually large democratic turnout from constituencies that historically don't turn out in such numbers. It's not racist, it's a fact. You can go back and examine turnout in total from 2008 from predominantly black communities across the nation overall and compare them to previous races. 2012's numbers probably follow suit. If you up the number of Democrats voting, Democrats win. Simple as that.

2) It's Tommy. He's not an appealing candidate on, frankly, any level. He's got a history here of running (or threatening to) run in just about any race that'll garner him some attention. His command of the English language is horrible. He sounds like the guy you rent cottages from up in Herman's Landing. On a good day, he looks like 40 miles of bad backwoods macadam. He came off as darn near brain damaged in the debates. Frankly, all Tammy had to do was show up and not look nuts to win.

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Lyle Ruble

7:36 am on Thursday, November 15, 2012

@Bob McBride....Spot on. If I remember correctly you predicted this last spring.

TOM

6:02 am on Friday, November 16, 2012

This entire election was a farce would have had an entirly different outcome had VOTER ID been in place and inforced.

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